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El Niño is no longer a hypothesis: the WMO raises the probability of its development and dominance of the global climate
Helena Mottram·Yourweather.co.uk·2026-06-03 14:00:00·1 view
What until a few months ago appeared in climate models as a distant possibility has now become the central scenario. Equatorial Pacific waters continue to warm, and the atmosphere is already showing signals consistent with El Niño.
The WMO (World Meteorological Organisation) states that there is an 80% probability of El Niño developing.
The tropical Pacific is sending increasingly clear signals. What only a few months ago appeared as one possibility among several climate scenarios is now
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El Niño is no longer a hypothesis: the WMO raises the probability of its development and dominance of the global climate
What until a few months ago appeared in climate models as a distant possibility has now become the central scenario. Equatorial Pacific waters continue to warm, and the atmosphere is already showing signals consistent with El Niño. The WMO (World Meteorological Organisation) states that there is an 80% probability of El Niño developing. The tropical Pacific is sending increasingly clear signals. What only a few months ago appeared as one possibility among several climate scenarios is now
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